Bearish Scenario: Sales below 78.99 with TP1: 77.93, TP2: 77.45, and upon its breakout TP3: 76.56 and TP4: 75.70 Bullish Scenario: Purchases above 78.00 (wait for a pullback to this area) with TP1: 1679.00 (uncovered POC*), TP2: 79.33, and TP3: 79.66 intraday
Euro’s forecast from Danske Bank
2020-09-03 • Updated
According to economists from Danske Bank, the euro is still overvalued. They see the fair price at 1.16. Let’s see why.
To begin with, Danske Bank is a Danish bank, headquartered in Copenhagen. It is recognized as the largest bank in the whole of Denmark and a main retail bank in northern Europe. It is a credible bank with a huge background, therefore its forecasts are taken seriously. Danske Bank has doubts over the further euro appreciation. The main reason is the tech stocks’ boom. All major tech companies are based in the USA, therefore, all the capital flows will be headed there. Moreover, the bank believes the US equity market will keep rallying for longer and attract more and more investors. Danske maintains a EUR/USD forecast of 1.1600 in three months.
Besides, the European Central Bank doesn’t like the idea of the expensive euro as it will weigh on the EU exports and, as a result, may jeopardize the economic recovery. The euro has risen this week to almost multi-year highs but then contracted sharply amid the stronger dollar. If this trend continues, the ECB will have to take some action. According to Pictet Wealth Management, “the ECB is expected to cut its 2022 inflation forecast next week from 1.3% to 1.2% or 1.1% to reflect the deflationary impact of a stronger euro on the price of imports”. Moreover, the ECM may step up the pace of asset purchases as well. In a nutshell, the ECB will make all efforts to depreciate the euro.
EUR/USD has just bounced off the key support of 1.1800. Now it’s moving upwards to the significant resistance of 1.1850, which it has touched a few times already. If it manages to break it through, it will rise to the psychological mark of 1.1900. Support levels are at 1.1800 and 1.1770.
All eyes on the NFP report tomorrow at 15:30 MT time, as it will set the tone for the whole market for Friday and the next week as well. Stay tuned!
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.34, TP2: 78.94, TP3: 78.55, and 78.00 Bullish Scenario: Buys above 78.00 (wait for a retracement to the zone) with TP: 79.34 TP2: 80.00, and TP3: 81.00
Amid uncertainty driven by geopolitical events, oil prices surged to record highs. However, a correction in oil prices is observed with a gradual improvement in the situation in the Middle East and an increase in demand. The question facing investors is whether there are prerequisites for further price growth or if everything depends on the dynamics of the political landscape. In this article, we will explore the impact of recent events on the global oil market and the prospects for developing this crucial commodity sector.
Intraday and swing scenarios based on price action and volume profile.
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
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