Last Tuesday, the Australian dollar experienced its steepest drop of the year, falling by 1.18%, following higher-than-expected US inflation figures, which boosted the US dollar. However, the Aussie has since rebounded and is now trading at a two-week high against the US dollar. Investors are...
AUD/JPY looks exposed
2020-01-21 • Updated
AUD/JPY formed a “shooting star” candlestick on the W1. This week, it’s testing levels below the 50-week MA at 75.45. That’s probably why the pair went down on the news that a pneumonia-like virus is spreading in China: the technical setup was negative and traders took the first cue from the fundamentals to go selling. All in all, we don’t know for how long this will affect the market, but in the short term the pair is vulnerable for the further decline to the support at 74.90. The slide below the 200-period MA on the H4 at 75.27 will confirm the downside. The picture on the H4 also looks like a double top with the neckline around 75.60 – the price will remain under pressure as long as it’s staying below this point.
SELL 75.25; TP 74.90; SL 75.35
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Bearish Scenario: Selling below 22.65 with TP1: 22.34 (intraday) and TP2: 22.02 (swing). Bullish Scenario: Buying above 22.70 with TP1: 22.90.
Intraday and swing scenarios based on price action and volume profile.