Last Tuesday, the Australian dollar experienced its steepest drop of the year, falling by 1.18%, following higher-than-expected US inflation figures, which boosted the US dollar. However, the Aussie has since rebounded and is now trading at a two-week high against the US dollar. Investors are...
AUD/NZD has some troubles
2019-11-11 • Updated
SELL 1.0750; TP1 1.0725; TP2 1.0700; SL 1.0765
The Australian dollar will likely be quite volatile on Tuesday as the Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Philip Lowe is scheduled to speak at 12:55 MT time. The RBA will likely be under pressure to cut rates further, so we await some negative impact on the AUD.
There are good levels for shorts below support in AUD/JPY and AUD/CHF, but in this article, we’d like to have a look at AUD/NZD. The pair has reached the resistance of the 61.8% Fibo of the 2018 decline in the 1.0800 area. The line connecting the 2019 highs also lies here. The attempts of the Aussie to get higher were so far unconvincing. On H4, the pair is below the 50-period MA at 1.0775. This previous support may now act as resistance. The inability to return above it will lead AUD/NZD down to 1.0725 (100-period MA on H4) and 1.0700 (200-week MA).
Commerzbank's analysis suggests a brighter outlook for the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) in the coming months despite recent downward pressure. Factors like broader U.S. Dollar strength and domestic issues have kept the NZD below last year's highs. However, robust labor markets in both New Zealand and Australia and an expected...
The higher-than-expected inflation data for January has reignited concerns about rising prices and its implications for Federal Reserve policy. While investors had anticipated rate cuts in the near term, the hot inflation print may delay such actions. As the Fed navigates the delicate balance between containing inflation and...
On Friday, the gold price (XAUUSD) retreated from a recent two-week high, facing selling pressure. This decline was driven by hawkish minutes from the FOMC meeting, indicating the Fed's reluctance to cut interest rates. Elevated US Treasury bond yields, supported by a "higher-for-longer" narrative, further weakened demand for gold...
Bearish Scenario: Selling below 22.65 with TP1: 22.34 (intraday) and TP2: 22.02 (swing). Bullish Scenario: Buying above 22.70 with TP1: 22.90.
Intraday and swing scenarios based on price action and volume profile.