Bearish Scenario: Sales below 78.99 with TP1: 77.93, TP2: 77.45, and upon its breakout TP3: 76.56 and TP4: 75.70 Bullish Scenario: Purchases above 78.00 (wait for a pullback to this area) with TP1: 1679.00 (uncovered POC*), TP2: 79.33, and TP3: 79.66 intraday
Brazilian real is the worst among developing economies
2020-05-07 • Updated
USD/BRL jumped before the announcement of the Central Bank of Brazil. What was the reason?
On April 6 the rating agency Fitch decreased the Brazil’s credit rating to negative. The Central Bank of Brazil cut interest rates by 75 basis points, while economists anticipated only 50. Moreover, the Brazil’s monetary policy committee intends to repeat that cut in June. The Brazilian real slumped by 1.8%.
Brazil interest rate
Reasons of its poor performance are the political uncertainty, the global recession amid the coronavirus pandemic, risk aversion and, also, the strong US dollar. Brazil has been damaged by the coronavirus much more than other countries in Latin America. Brazil is headed towards unseen low rates. The economy has never been in such an environment before.
Let’s look at the USD/BRL chart. The main trend is upward. Now the price is near the recent intraday record high at the 5.75 mark. Let’s see if it breaks through it and moves up further or goes down to the support line on 5.33. The next support is on 5.00. However, with the firmer US dollar the prognosis for the Brazil real is disappointing.
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