Bearish Scenario: Sales below 78.99 with TP1: 77.93, TP2: 77.45, and upon its breakout TP3: 76.56 and TP4: 75.70 Bullish Scenario: Purchases above 78.00 (wait for a pullback to this area) with TP1: 1679.00 (uncovered POC*), TP2: 79.33, and TP3: 79.66 intraday
Careful With US GDP Data Today
2021-08-26 • Updated
After few days of lack of fundamentals, all eyes are headed towards the US GDP & Jobless Claims later today. The Q2 GDP is expected to post the highest reading since the Q3 of last year, while the Core PCE Price Index is expected to remain stable at 6.1%.
On the other hand, the Jobless Claims is expected to rise slightly from the lowest level since the beginning of Covid19 era to 350K.
However, traders are advised to be very careful, the impact of these numbers is unlikely to last. Most probably it will be a quick move right after the announcement and markets will likely stabilize and it might be a nonevent as all eyes will turn again to Jackson Hall symposium which remains the key for now.
One thing everyone is waiting for, will the Fed stick to its plan to taper QE before the end of the year? If yes, the entire move that we saw in equities since the beginning of this week will be reversed in a short period of time, while if the Federal Reserve decided to surprise the markets with a delay due to Delta variant fears, markets will be celebrating the continuation of the Fed's liquidity.
Amid uncertainty driven by geopolitical events, oil prices surged to record highs. However, a correction in oil prices is observed with a gradual improvement in the situation in the Middle East and an increase in demand. The question facing investors is whether there are prerequisites for further price growth or if everything depends on the dynamics of the political landscape. In this article, we will explore the impact of recent events on the global oil market and the prospects for developing this crucial commodity sector.
China has issued new oil product export quotas to allow oil companies to send surplus barrels overseas, particularly Sinopec, which has the highest volume among quota holders. While the exact quota volume remains undisclosed, oil companies are forecasted to export approximately 3.5 million metric tons of clean oil products in September, a 10% increase from August.
Intraday and swing scenarios based on price action and volume profile.
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Last week I gave a trade idea on XAUUSD with a target around the $2,020 price line. At the time of writing, XAUUSD already exceeded the target and I’m sure that would leave a lot of people wondering what to expect next. Below, I have presented my view of how I expect the price action to turn out in the meantime.