This article uses price action and volume profile techniques to address a fundamental and technical perspective based on the daily chart analysis of spot gold (XAUUSD).
Gold Is Pressed By Strong USD
2021-09-28 • Updated
What is happening?
Investors have favored gold at the start of the week due to the worries over China’s Evergrande debt crisis. As we know, the yellow metal tends to rise in times of market instability. However, the growth has stopped fast due to the strong US dollar (gold and the USD have an inverse relation). The greenback gained as traders expect the Federal Reserve to hike rates earlier than initially thought. Indeed, the US central bank has started talking in a more hawkish manner. As a result, the USD is likely to keep rising and gold – falling.
XAU/USD has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern. The lower line of the triangle intersects with the support level of $1730 – the low of August 9. If it breaks below this support line, it will mean that gold escapes the triangle, so the way down to the psychological mark of $1700 will be open. In the opposite scenario, if gold reverses up from the $1730 level, it may jump to $1750 – the recent high.
On Friday, the gold price (XAUUSD) retreated from a recent two-week high, facing selling pressure. This decline was driven by hawkish minutes from the FOMC meeting, indicating the Fed's reluctance to cut interest rates. Elevated US Treasury bond yields, supported by a "higher-for-longer" narrative, further weakened demand for gold...
Bearish Scenario: Selling below 22.65 with TP1: 22.34 (intraday) and TP2: 22.02 (swing). Bullish Scenario: Buying above 22.70 with TP1: 22.90.
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