Following the CPI data release on Tuesday, the price of Gold dropped from its recent high at $2,000 all the way through to the $1980 region where it is currently sitting. As we anticipate what could be next for the yellow metal ahead of the Retails sales data release from the US. In the meantime...
GOLD: Where is Price Headed Now?
2023-12-14 • Updated
Gold prices (XAU/USD) continued their upward trajectory on Thursday, bolstered by dovish guidance from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The precious metal's fundamentals are gaining strong support, suggesting a potential for sustained gains in the long term.
The Fed's new projections indicate a willingness for more rate cuts than previously anticipated. This shift is attributed to substantial progress in inflation, which is on a declining trend toward the 2% target. Additionally, a stable job market and reduced inflation projections contribute to the favorable environment for gold.
Despite signaling potential rate cuts and offering lower inflation guidance, Fed Chair Jerome Powell refrained from declaring victory over inflation. The central bank is, however, expected to navigate a 'soft landing,' achieving price stability without negatively impacting the labor market or triggering a recession.
(Gold) XAUUSD - Weekly Timeframe
Gold(XAUUSD) created a new ATH (All-Time-High) last week, and retraced almost immediately after. Right now on the weekly timeframe, Gold seems to be in search of new support levels from which it could possibly reclaim the high. In my opinion, I think Gold is likely going to retest the supply zone once again before completing the retracement.
(Gold) XAUUSD - D1 Timeframe
On the Daily timeframe, Gold has bounced off the 50-Day moving average, heading towards the supply zone as indicated. It is my sentiment in the meantime that Gold would reach the supply zone before any real decline in prices can occur.
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Gold prices, stable above $2,000 per ounce, commenced the week on an uptrend driven by a rallying US dollar and anticipation surrounding the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. Analysts highlight that the market is keen on the Fed's signals for the coming months rather than immediate announcements.
Intraday Bullish Scenario: Consider buying above 2028.50 with TP1: 2033, TP2: 2036, and TP3: 3039 on extension. Intraday Bearish Scenario: Look for sales below 2024 with TP1: 2000, TP2: 2016, and upon breakout TP3: 2013.
Intraday and swing scenarios based on price action and volume profile.
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Last week I gave a trade idea on XAUUSD with a target around the $2,020 price line. At the time of writing, XAUUSD already exceeded the target and I’m sure that would leave a lot of people wondering what to expect next. Below, I have presented my view of how I expect the price action to turn out in the meantime.