Last week I gave a trade idea on XAUUSD with a target around the $2,020 price line. At the time of writing, XAUUSD already exceeded the target and I’m sure that would leave a lot of people wondering what to expect next. Below, I have presented my view of how I expect the price action to turn out in the meantime.
How Will BOJ Statement Affect the Yen?
2023-03-07 • Updated
The Bank of Japan is expected to release a statement regarding its monetary policy for the second time this year. This statement, due on the 10th of March, usually has a very high impact on the outlook of the Japanese Yen as it ties in closely with the short-term interest rates and overall strength of the currency.
The Daily timeframe chart of the USDJPY already looks like the onset of a downward move. We can see the 100- and 200-period moving averages have successfully rejected prices from going higher. Also, looking at the fact that the rejection occurred from the supply zone overlapping with the 88% Fibonacci retracement level, it is quite safe to sustain a bearish sentiment.
Here we have a large wedge constricting price movement on the daily timeframe of GBPJPY. Price has also recently bounced off the supply zone above the trendline resistance of the wedge. Based on this, the position of the moving averages, and the 76% of the Fibonacci retracement zone, it is safe to expect a further price decline.
CADJPY is reacting within the highlighted supply zone, and we also have a bearish alignment from the moving averages. As a result of these confluences, I have a bearish sentiment. However, it is less confident than I would like.
We've been pursuing this particular setup for a few days. It is noticeable that the price here is still trading under the supply zone, with slight rejections already taking place. The resistance trendline and the 76% Fibonacci retracement level add additional confluences. The 50-period moving average trading below the 100-period moving average also confirms a bearish sentiment.
Target: 142.7; and 141
The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
You can access more of such trade ideas and prompt market updates on the telegram channel.
Last Tuesday, the Australian dollar experienced its steepest drop of the year, falling by 1.18%, following higher-than-expected US inflation figures, which boosted the US dollar. However, the Aussie has since rebounded and is now trading at a two-week high against the US dollar. Investors are...
Commerzbank's analysis suggests a brighter outlook for the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) in the coming months despite recent downward pressure. Factors like broader U.S. Dollar strength and domestic issues have kept the NZD below last year's highs. However, robust labor markets in both New Zealand and Australia and an expected...
On Friday, the gold price (XAUUSD) retreated from a recent two-week high, facing selling pressure. This decline was driven by hawkish minutes from the FOMC meeting, indicating the Fed's reluctance to cut interest rates. Elevated US Treasury bond yields, supported by a "higher-for-longer" narrative, further weakened demand for gold...
Bearish Scenario: Selling below 22.65 with TP1: 22.34 (intraday) and TP2: 22.02 (swing). Bullish Scenario: Buying above 22.70 with TP1: 22.90.
Intraday and swing scenarios based on price action and volume profile.