OIL: turbulence ahead

OIL: turbulence ahead

2020-07-13 • Updated

In May-June, WTI oil price was rising almost non-stop. In July, we have an obvious consolidation. The level of $41 per barrel so far serves as an iron wall for bullish intentions. What is the likely scenario ahead?

OPEC+ is having a meeting this week. They are going to discuss the possibility of loosening the tight regime of output cuts in view of expectedly improving outlook for global oil demand. Locally, investors are already factoring in an increase in the output – last Friday, WTI dropped to $38.5

Surely, for oil prices, the period of “simply growing” is over – at least, for now. This week, we will definitely see volatility. First, the OPEC+ will make its announcements; then, the market will take its time to react, retrace, and stabilize. So we are speaking about a couple of weeks of the full cycle of market reaction getting ready to pave the way for a new period of probable growth.

Therefore, expect some turbulence ahead. Dropdowns as deep as down to $30-35 would be nothing extraordinary. But the end of the month, though, it is likely to be over, and by that time $40 will eventually convert into support level.

1.png

                                                                                                  LOG IN

Similar

Nasdaq 100 (US100): Toward 17750
Nasdaq 100 (US100): Toward 17750

Bullish Scenario: Buy between 17515 and 17600 with TP1: 17681; TP2: 17720 intraday, and TP3: 17750 / 18000 in extension. Bearish Scenario in case of breaking the buying zone: Sell below 17500 with TP1: 17469; TP2: 17421, and TP3: 17358 in extension.

Latest news

AUD: Trade Ideas
AUD: Trade Ideas

Last Tuesday, the Australian dollar experienced its steepest drop of the year, falling by 1.18%, following higher-than-expected US inflation figures, which boosted the US dollar. However, the Aussie has since rebounded and is now trading at a two-week high against the US dollar. Investors are...

NZD: The Week Ahead
NZD: The Week Ahead

Commerzbank's analysis suggests a brighter outlook for the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) in the coming months despite recent downward pressure. Factors like broader U.S. Dollar strength and domestic issues have kept the NZD below last year's highs. However, robust labor markets in both New Zealand and Australia and an expected...

Deposit with your local payment systems

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.

Callback

A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera