The Aftermath of the BoJ’s Policy Statement

The Aftermath of the BoJ’s Policy Statement

2023-10-31 • Updated

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) recently concluded its October monetary policy review meeting, deciding not to make any adjustments to its current policy settings. This means the interest rate remains at -10bps, and the 10-year JGB yield target remains at 0%. A noteworthy change in the BoJ's approach is the redefinition of the 1.0% 10-year JGB yield cap, now regarded as a reference rather than a strict limit.

The central bank also plans to be more adaptable in managing market operations, determining offer rates for fixed-rate JGB buying operations individually, taking into account various market factors. Furthermore, the BoJ emphasizes the need for strengthening wages and prices within a virtuous economic cycle. It reiterates its dedication to ongoing monetary easing under YCC, aiming to boost economic activity and facilitate wage growth.

This decision underscores the high level of uncertainty currently prevailing in the economy and financial markets. The BoJ's announcement, made just a few hours ago, reflects its commitment to maintaining a flexible and supportive monetary policy as it navigates the challenges presented by today's economic landscape.

AUDJPY - H4 Timeframe

AUDJPYH4-3110.png

The AUDJPY chart above shows price approaching a key level at the 76% of the Fibonacci retracement, alongside the presence of a drop-base-drop supply zone. The head-and-shoulder pattern and the trendline resistance serve as additional confirmations for the bearish sentiment.

Analyst’s Expectations: 

Direction: Bearish

Target: 95.189

Invalidation: 96.341

CADJPY - H4 Timeframe

CADJPYH4-3110.png

CADJPY is currently at a rally-base-drop supply zone, with the confluence of the resistance trendline, and the 100-day moving average resistance. Based on this, I will uphold a bearish sentiment since the supply zone also overlaps a resistance pivot zone.

Analyst’s Expectations: 

Direction: Bearish

Target: 108.082

Invalidation: 109.168

NZDJPY - H4 Timeframe

NZDJPYH4-3110.png

On the 4-Hour chart of NZDJPY, we can see price resting at the 200-day moving average, with further confluence from the trendline resistance, rally-base-drop supply zone, as well as the bearish array of the moving averages.

Analyst’s Expectations: 

Direction: Bearish

Target: 87.388

Invalidation: 88.559

CONCLUSION

The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.

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