Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.
Trading Opportunities on August 16-20
2021-08-16 • Updated
In this article, we will discuss oil, EUR/USD movements during the past week and try to find short- and long-term trading opportunities.
Oil demonstrated a positive dynamic during the past week after the massive drop. Data from the US Energy Information Administration on Wednesday showed that fuel demand of the top global crude user has averaged 20.6 million barrels per day (BPD) over the past four weeks, roughly in line with 2019 levels. OPEC agreed to boost oil supply by 400,000 BPD monthly, starting in August. However, there are still concerns that the increase will not be enough to meet demand as the US and Europe ease their coronavirus-induced movement restrictions.
In this case, $73 and $75 levels are the main targets for the upcoming week. You can find more relative technical analysis in the previous article related to oil.
Daily XBR/USD chart
The currency pair came to the highly important support level at 1.171 after the US employment announcement.
The price has formed a “head and shoulders” pattern and 1-2-3 pattern, both point us to the upcoming decline with the target at 1.12. In short term, we expect to see a pullback up to 1.18 according to RSI and MACD oscillators. In this case, the price will retest the neckline and confirm the pattern. Let’s check both patterns!
Daily chart, “Head and shoulders”
If the price retests neckline from the bottom and bounces off it, the “head with shoulders” patter will be confirmed.
Daily chart, “1-2-3 pattern”
With the RSI divergence, the chart has formed a 1-2-3 pattern. The target measures as the vertical line connecting the 2-pivot point level and the middle point on the line between 1 and 3 pivot points. As soon as the price breaks through the 1.17 support level the pattern will be confirmed.
When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.
The S&P 500 had a good week due to the impressive start of Q1 earnings and favorable inflation data. In March, the consumer price index rose 5%, lower than the previous month's 6%, and met economists' expectations.
On Friday, the gold price (XAUUSD) retreated from a recent two-week high, facing selling pressure. This decline was driven by hawkish minutes from the FOMC meeting, indicating the Fed's reluctance to cut interest rates. Elevated US Treasury bond yields, supported by a "higher-for-longer" narrative, further weakened demand for gold...
Bearish Scenario: Selling below 22.65 with TP1: 22.34 (intraday) and TP2: 22.02 (swing). Bullish Scenario: Buying above 22.70 with TP1: 22.90.
Intraday and swing scenarios based on price action and volume profile.