Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.
USD bulls try to resist
2020-12-01 • Updated
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
USD/JPY: The pair is trading above the cloud. An upward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a new bullish outlook.
XAU/USD: Gold gains after a period of the significant selloff. Gold remains below the key 38.2% retracement area while bulls resist further selloff.
US Market View
World shares edged up to just below record peaks on Tuesday after robust China data boosted expectations of a recovery from the COVID-19 downturn and as drugmakers seek fast approval for their vaccines and authorities look set to keep stimulus support.
Bets of more easing from the Fed in the United States to help the pandemic-hit economy through the winter weighed on the dollar, as riskier currencies rose, while crude prices missed out on the bounce after OPEC+ countries delayed a decision on output cuts. In foreign exchange markets, the dollar was under pressure after closing out its worst month since July with a little bounce and as investors reckon on even more US monetary easing. In a speech released late on Monday, Fed chair Jerome Powell said a slowing recovery and a surging pandemic meant the US was entering a "challenging" few months, with the potential deployment of a vaccine still facing hurdles.
Elsewhere sterling hit a three-month high as traders clung to hopes for a Brexit trade deal before the year's end, while risk-related currencies such as the Canadian and Australian dollar rose against the greenback.
USA Key Point
- Cable eases back to key near-term levels on the pullback after testing 1.3400
- UK November final manufacturing PMI 55.6 vs 55.2 prelim
- Eurozone November final manufacturing PMI 53.8 vs 53.6 prelim
- Germany November unemployment change -39.0k vs 8.0k expected
- France November final manufacturing PMI 49.6 vs 49.1 prelim
When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.
The S&P 500 had a good week due to the impressive start of Q1 earnings and favorable inflation data. In March, the consumer price index rose 5%, lower than the previous month's 6%, and met economists' expectations.
On Friday, the gold price (XAUUSD) retreated from a recent two-week high, facing selling pressure. This decline was driven by hawkish minutes from the FOMC meeting, indicating the Fed's reluctance to cut interest rates. Elevated US Treasury bond yields, supported by a "higher-for-longer" narrative, further weakened demand for gold...
Bearish Scenario: Selling below 22.65 with TP1: 22.34 (intraday) and TP2: 22.02 (swing). Bullish Scenario: Buying above 22.70 with TP1: 22.90.
Intraday and swing scenarios based on price action and volume profile.