Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.
USD/JPY consolidation period remains intact
2020-12-11 • Updated
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
AUD/JPY: The pair is trading above the cloud. Further bullish pressure will lead the currency pair to retest the previous highs.
XAU/USD: Gold consolidates on the 38.2% retracement area the last day. Seems that bullish momentum declines recently.
European Market View
Asian equity markets traded mixed following a similar subdued performance on Wall Street. EU leaders agreed on a compromise involving the EU budget and rule of law with Poland and Hungary, unblocking the recovery package. US Senate Majority Leader McConnell reportedly doesn’t see a path on the two main sticking points (aid to states/cities and liability protections). Looking ahead, highlights from the macroeconomic calendar include US PPI, Uni. of Michigan, Fed's Quarles, ECB's Lagarde, ECB Council Summit. The ECB increased the overall size of its Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) by 500 billion euros to 1.85 trillion euros and extended the scheme by nine months to March 2022.
EU Key Point
- The German government, states to discuss new virus measures this weekend
- ECB's Villeroy that ECB is vigilant about the euro exchange rate
- The BOJ is likely to extend corporate funding aid schemes
- Germany sees a jump to record daily coronavirus cases alongside the deadliest day of the pandemic
When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.
The S&P 500 had a good week due to the impressive start of Q1 earnings and favorable inflation data. In March, the consumer price index rose 5%, lower than the previous month's 6%, and met economists' expectations.
On Friday, the gold price (XAUUSD) retreated from a recent two-week high, facing selling pressure. This decline was driven by hawkish minutes from the FOMC meeting, indicating the Fed's reluctance to cut interest rates. Elevated US Treasury bond yields, supported by a "higher-for-longer" narrative, further weakened demand for gold...
Bearish Scenario: Selling below 22.65 with TP1: 22.34 (intraday) and TP2: 22.02 (swing). Bullish Scenario: Buying above 22.70 with TP1: 22.90.
Intraday and swing scenarios based on price action and volume profile.